Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 05:30
Prediction: Miho Kuramochi vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Team pages: Miho Kuramochi · Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Miho Kuramochi
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Miho Kuramochi
5-5 (W-L)
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miho Kuramochi 1520 · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1620
| Miho Kuramochi | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1520 vs 1620).
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Miho Kuramochi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Miho Kuramochi | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.3 | 12.3-7.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miho Kuramochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Avery Alexander WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Hiroko Kuwata WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Avery Alexander W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mia Kupres W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mulville W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miho Kuramochi vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova?
Our model gives 55% to Asylzhan Arystanbekova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.