Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 04:00
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Rinko Matsuda
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
5-5 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1487 · Rinko Matsuda 1589
| Sakura Hosogi | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1487 vs 1589).
- Rinko Matsuda is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.1 | 13.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/08 | Na Ri Kim W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Xiran Lan W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Sofiia Suslova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 57% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.