Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 03/09, 16:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Sofia Rocchetti
Team pages: Lexie Weir · Sofia Rocchetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Sofia Rocchetti
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Sofia Rocchetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1578 · Sofia Rocchetti 1530
| Lexie Weir | Sofia Rocchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1578 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Sofia Rocchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.2 | 10.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ella Piron UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/08 | Waverly Potter UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Josephine Lombardi UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Audrey Spencer UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiya Bowles UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Sofia Rocchetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Berrak Kocak UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Martina Colmegna W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Benedetta Baratto W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Ana Maye Martinez W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lea Boskovic W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Sofia Rocchetti?
Our model gives 51% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.