Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 31/08, 21:20
Prediction: Jenna Dean vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Jenna Dean · Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Jenna Dean
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Jenna Dean
3-7 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenna Dean 1432 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1493
| Jenna Dean | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrycja Niewiadomska (rating 1432 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Jenna Dean | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-10.6 | 9.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.1% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenna Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
1-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 01/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Clervie Ngounoue W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sofia Johnson W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Adriana Reami W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Hannah Klugman W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/04 | Carson Tanguilig W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Taylor Gruber W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/04 | Briley Rhoden W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Diana Ilie W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Alessia Cau UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kennedy Gibbs UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Marylove Edwards UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sophia Cisse-Ignatiev UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Elen Jantacova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/02 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/02 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Isabella Foshee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/02 | Anjani Haripriya Vickneswaran UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenna Dean vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 51% to Patrycja Niewiadomska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.