Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 30/08, 01:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
8-2 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Mayo
1–2
Andy Andrade
(3 last)
- 23 Apr0-2 10-13L
- 16 Mar0-2 10-13L
- 30 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1544 · Andy Andrade 1588
| Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andy Andrade (rating 1544 vs 1588).
- Head-to-head: Aidan Mayo 1–2 Andy Andrade (3).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.1 | 13-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Aidan Mayo 1 – 2 Andy Andrade (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Mayo 1–2 Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Challenger Savannah | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/03/26 Challenger Morelos | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06/25 Challenger Cary | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Andy Andrade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Liam Draxl Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 58% to Andy Andrade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.