Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 29/08, 00:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Luis Guto Miguel
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Luis Guto Miguel
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
7-3 (W-L)
Luis Guto Miguel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1531 · Luis Guto Miguel 1551
| Aidan Mayo | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Luis Guto Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Our model gives 51% to Luis Guto Miguel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.