Tennis · M15 Champaign · 28/08, 20:30
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Preston Stearns
Team pages: Marko Mesarovic · Preston Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Mesarovic
Preston Stearns
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Mesarovic
6-4 (W-L)
Preston Stearns
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marko Mesarovic
0–1
Preston Stearns
(1 last)
- 13 Nov0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1526 · Preston Stearns 1597
| Marko Mesarovic | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1526 vs 1597).
- Preston Stearns is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marko Mesarovic 0–1 Preston Stearns (1).
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.9 | 12.7-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Marko Mesarovic 0 – 1 Preston Stearns (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marko Mesarovic 0–1 Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/25 ITF M25 Columbus | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Evan Burnett M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Claverie Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Preston Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Joshua Peck M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Noa Vukadin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Marko Mesarovic ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Preston Stearns?
Our model gives 63% to Preston Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.