Tennis · M15 Champaign · 27/08, 18:00
Prediction: Joshua Peck vs Preston Stearns
Team pages: Joshua Peck · Preston Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Joshua Peck
Preston Stearns
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joshua Peck
4-6 (W-L)
Preston Stearns
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joshua Peck 1513 · Preston Stearns 1581
| Joshua Peck | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1513 vs 1581).
- Preston Stearns is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Joshua Peck makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Joshua Peck | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.8 | 13.1-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 78% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joshua Peck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Adam Jilly M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Ilija Palavestra M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Evan Bynoe M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Jerry Roddick M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Evan Zhu M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Matteo Covato M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | William Jansen M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Cole Thurgur M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Noa Vukadin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Marko Mesarovic ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joshua Peck vs Preston Stearns?
Our model gives 68% to Preston Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.