Tennis · M15 Champaign · 28/08, 19:30

Prediction: Jakub Vrba vs Ofek Shimanov

Team pages: Ofek Shimanov

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Jakub Vrba Ofek Shimanov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Vrba 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWWL
Ofek Shimanov 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jakub Vrba 1507 · Ofek Shimanov 1559
Jakub VrbaOfek Shimanov
Our model43%57%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ofek Shimanov (rating 1507 vs 1559).
  • Note: Jakub Vrba makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Jakub VrbaOfek Shimanov
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)9.5-10.412.4-9.4
Aces5.22.3
Double faults4.32.5
1st serve %66.3%67.9%
Break %42.3%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jakub Vrba

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Ryan Colby
M15 Champaign
2-1 18-17 W
26/08 Alexander Frusina
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Nicholas Mekhael
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-3 W
27/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
23/06 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
18/06 Andrej Nedic
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
17/06 Noa Vukadin
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-0 9-4 W
16/06 Dmitry Kopilevich
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Daniel Dutra Da Silva
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L

Ofek Shimanov

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Eli Stephenson
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Jeremy Zhang
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Riku Takahata
M15 Astana
2-0 14-11 W
29/07 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
1-2 12-15 L
28/07 Min Ho Ko
M15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Islam Orynbasar
M15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Jordan Hasson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Devin Badenhorst
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
15/07 Jeffrey Strydom
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jakub Vrba vs Ofek Shimanov?

Our model gives 51% to Ofek Shimanov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.