Tennis · M15 Champaign · 27/08, 18:30
Prediction: Nicolas Arseneault vs Jack Anthrop
Team pages: Nicolas Arseneault · Jack Anthrop
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Arseneault
Jack Anthrop
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Arseneault
2-8 (W-L)
Jack Anthrop
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Arseneault 1431 · Jack Anthrop 1561
| Nicolas Arseneault | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Anthrop (rating 1431 vs 1561).
- Jack Anthrop is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Arseneault | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.3 | 12.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jack Anthrop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Noah Schachter M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Karim Bennani M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Gavin Young M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Arseneault vs Jack Anthrop?
Our model gives 61% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.