Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 28/08, 17:30
Prediction: Tomas Martinez vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Tomas Martinez · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martinez
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Martinez
0–1
Carlos Maria Zarate
(1 last)
- 30 Apr1-2 10-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martinez 1479 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1580
| Tomas Martinez | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1479 vs 1580).
- Head-to-head: Tomas Martinez 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
- Note: Tomas Martinez makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Tomas Martinez | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.2 | 13.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 65.8% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Tomas Martinez 0 – 1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Martinez 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 M25 Lujan | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/08 | Lautaro Correa Beguerie M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mauricio Echazu Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 28/06 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Quito Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martinez vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 72% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.