Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 28/08, 16:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Gagliardo
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
10-0 (W-L)
Lorenzo Gagliardo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
1–0
Lorenzo Gagliardo
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1647 · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1495
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1647 vs 1495).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1–0 Lorenzo Gagliardo (1).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-4.3 | 10.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 64.6% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1 – 0 Lorenzo Gagliardo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1–0 Lorenzo Gagliardo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 M15 Asuncion | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Nathan Cox M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Lorenzo Gagliardo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Gonzalo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Tomas Tischner M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Andres Medus M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Gagliardo?
Our model gives 77% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.