Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 27/08, 17:30

Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Team pages: Santiago Giamichelle · Carlos Maria Zarate

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Santiago Giamichelle Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Giamichelle 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWLW
Carlos Maria Zarate 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLW
Head-to-head
Santiago Giamichelle 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1 last)
  • 16 Jul0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Giamichelle 1494 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1558
Santiago GiamichelleCarlos Maria Zarate
Our model41%59%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1494 vs 1558).
  • Head-to-head: Santiago Giamichelle 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
  • Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Santiago GiamichelleCarlos Maria Zarate
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)9.8-10.213.6-10
Aces1.11.5
Double faults34.7
1st serve %60.7%69.6%
Break %51%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · Santiago Giamichelle 01 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Giamichelle 01 Carlos Maria Zarate

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/07/26
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Giamichelle

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Santiago Pesino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 9-8 L
16/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 9-13 L
14/07 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 8-6 W
13/07 Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 4-12 L
09/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
07/06 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 15-17 W

Carlos Maria Zarate

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
1-2 18-17 L
06/08 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-3 W
05/08 Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina
2-1 18-11 W
24/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Salvador Price
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 18-13 W
22/07 Francisco Fontes Damorim
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 18-11 W
17/07 Maximo Zeitune
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 8-13 L
16/07 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Carlos Maria Zarate?

Our model gives 70% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.