Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 28/08, 16:00

Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Santiago De La Fuente

Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Santiago De La Fuente

Prediction summary

Winner

70% 30%

Gonzalo Villanueva Santiago De La Fuente

Estimated games

Recent form · 10 last

Gonzalo Villanueva 7-3 (W-L)

WWLWWLWLWW

Santiago De La Fuente 7-3 (W-L)

LWWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Gonzalo Villanueva 4–0 Santiago De La Fuente (4 last)

14 Aug2-0 12-7W
07 Apr2-1 16-10W
21 Sept2-0 14-10W
22 Feb2-0 14-10W

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1604 · Santiago De La Fuente 1532

	Gonzalo Villanueva	Santiago De La Fuente
Our model	60%	40%
Market	78%	22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1604 vs 1532).
Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 4–0 Santiago De La Fuente (4).

Statistics

	Gonzalo Villanueva	Santiago De La Fuente
Win %	80%	70%
Win % · Clay	75% (8)	71% (7)
Sets (G-P)	1.6-0.5	1.4-0.7
Games (G-P)	11.5-6.8	10.2-7.5
Aces	1.9	0.9
Double faults	1.9	1.5
1st serve %	61%	59.9%
Break %	52.8%	55.3%

Estimated total games (ours) 20

H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 4 – 0 Santiago De La Fuente (4)

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.33

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	2
08:14 +18’	1.20	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 4–0 Santiago De La Fuente

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
14/08/26 M15 Asuncion	2-0	12-7	W
07/04/26 Challenger Campinas	2-1	16-10	W
21/09/25 Challenger Buenos Aires	2-0	14-10	W
22/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre	2-0	14-10	W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gonzalo Villanueva

WWLWW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
27/08	Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata	2-0	12-8	W
26/08	Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Mar Del Plata	2-0	13-5	W
22/08	Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	0-2	4-12	L
21/08	Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-1	W
20/08	Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-1	17-12	W
19/08	Felipe De Dios M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-4	W
18/08	Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-1	W
15/08	Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	0-2	9-13	L
14/08	Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-7	W
13/08	Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-5	W

Santiago De La Fuente

WWLWW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
27/08	Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Mar Del Plata	2-0	12-5	W
25/08	Tobia Grandinetti M15 Mar Del Plata	2-0	12-4	W
20/08	Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	0-2	5-12	L
19/08	Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-5	W
18/08	Corey Craig M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
14/08	Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	0-2	7-12	L
13/08	Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-1	13-11	W
12/08	Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
11/08	Alvaro Frutos Alonso M15 Asuncion · ~Clay	2-0	12-4	W
16/07	Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion	0-2	5-10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Our model gives 70% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.