Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 28/08, 12:00
Prediction: Adrien Burdet vs Florent Lagarrigue
Team pages: Adrien Burdet · Florent Lagarrigue
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Burdet
Florent Lagarrigue
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Burdet
7-3 (W-L)
Florent Lagarrigue
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Burdet 1550 · Florent Lagarrigue 1517
| Adrien Burdet | Florent Lagarrigue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Adrien Burdet | Florent Lagarrigue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.8 | 10-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Burdet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Mateo Fluri M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Laurin Aerne M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Berrut M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Leandro Zgraggen M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Florent Lagarrigue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Johan Nikles M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Loris Gander M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Jarno Ethan Peterhans M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Raphael Perot M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Baluska M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/04 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Maximilian Figl M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Lenny Couturier M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Alexandre Reco M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Burdet vs Florent Lagarrigue?
Our model gives 52% to Florent Lagarrigue, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.