Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 28/08, 10:30

Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs Nino Ehrenschneider

Team pages: Andrey Chepelev · Nino Ehrenschneider

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Andrey Chepelev Nino Ehrenschneider
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Chepelev 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLLWW
Nino Ehrenschneider 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrey Chepelev 1506 · Nino Ehrenschneider 1534
Andrey ChepelevNino Ehrenschneider
Our model46%54%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andrey ChepelevNino Ehrenschneider
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-1.1
Games (G-P)10.7-9.613.1-12.7
Aces1.33.9
Double faults3.22.5
1st serve %65.3%68.8%
Break %39.7%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrey Chepelev

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Luca Parenti
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/08 Stefan Horia Haita
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
14/08 Bor Artnak
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
13/08 Aleksandar Tolev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
11/08 David Eichenseher
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Marko Maksimovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/07 Filip Krolo
M25 Wetzlar
1-2 15-13 L
18/07 Jurij Rodionov
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Nino Ehrenschneider

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M25 Lausanne
2-1 15-16 W
26/08 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Lausanne
2-1 16-16 W
18/08 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
16/08 Christopher Papa
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
15/08 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Malmo
0-2 8-13 L
13/08 Maximilian Figl
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Jonathan Mridha
M15 Malmo
2-0 13-7 W
09/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Kassel
1-2 13-15 L
07/07 Daniel Dutra Da Silva
M25 Kassel
2-1 15-13 W
02/07 Manvydas Balciunas
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 17-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs Nino Ehrenschneider?

Our model gives 55% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.