Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Felix Seres
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Felix Seres
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
4-6 (W-L)
Felix Seres
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1511 · Felix Seres 1449
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Felix Seres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1511 vs 1449).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Felix Seres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.3 | 8.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Tudor Batin M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Felix Seres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Michalis Sakellaridis M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/03 | Nicola Senn M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Gil Brahier M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 30/12 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Tim Heger UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Bas Bouwman UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Dawid Wisniewski UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Gian Luca Tanner M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Roman Glarner M25 Lausanne |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Felix Seres?
Our model gives 78% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.