Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 28/08, 12:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Henry Bernet
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Henry Bernet
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Henry Bernet
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Henry Bernet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1537 · Henry Bernet 1538
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Henry Bernet dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 48.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.6 | 14.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Tudor Batin M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Marko Maric M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 60% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.