Tennis · M25 Maribor · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Andrea De Marchi
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Andrea De Marchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
9-1 (W-L)
Andrea De Marchi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1513 · Andrea De Marchi 1581
| Samuele Pieri | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea De Marchi (rating 1513 vs 1581).
- Andrea De Marchi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 10.6-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Theodore Dean M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Francesco Forti M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Andrea De Marchi?
Our model gives 56% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.