Tennis · M25 Maribor · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Filip Jeff Planinsek · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Jeff Planinsek
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Jeff Planinsek
8-2 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filip Jeff Planinsek
1–0
Valerio Aboian
(1 last)
- 21 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1564 · Valerio Aboian 1463
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Jeff Planinsek (rating 1564 vs 1463).
- Filip Jeff Planinsek dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 53.2% break avg.
- Filip Jeff Planinsek is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Filip Jeff Planinsek 1–0 Valerio Aboian (1).
Statistics
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 70% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1 – 0 Valerio Aboian (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1–0 Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 M25 Slovenj Gradec | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Jeff Planinsek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Matic Hribar M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Valerio Aboian M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Vid Mohar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/08 | Marko Retelj M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 26/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yannic Nittmann Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 65% to Filip Jeff Planinsek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.