Tennis · M25 Maribor · 27/08, 11:30
Prediction: Karlo Kajin vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Karlo Kajin · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Karlo Kajin
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Karlo Kajin
4-6 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karlo Kajin 1466 · Valerio Aboian 1480
| Karlo Kajin | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karlo Kajin | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.2 | 10.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karlo Kajin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Marko Retelj M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazar Oliynykov M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Martin Muller M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Opatija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yannic Nittmann Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Mena Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karlo Kajin vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 70% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.