Tennis · M25 Maribor · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1621 · Giuseppe La Vela 1513
| Sebastian Sorger | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1621 vs 1513).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-4.1 | 11.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Simone Agostini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Giuseppe La Vela
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Best M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 73% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.