Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Angelini vs Steffan Van Weldam

Team pages: Lorenzo Angelini · Steffan Van Weldam

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Lorenzo Angelini Steffan Van Weldam
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Angelini 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLW
Steffan Van Weldam 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Angelini 1517 · Steffan Van Weldam 1539
Lorenzo AngeliniSteffan Van Weldam
Our model47%53%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo AngeliniSteffan Van Weldam
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.1-910.3-9.5
Aces0.60.9
Double faults2.12.6
1st serve %60%70.1%
Break %54.1%54.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Angelini

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Stan Put
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Maxime Janvier
Challenger San Marino · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
24/07 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Denia
0-1 2-6 L
23/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Denia
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Andres Santamarta Roig
M25 Denia
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Luca Potenza
Challenger Trieste · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
05/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Steffan Van Weldam

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Wout Vermeer
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Sammy Guinau
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Lambermont
1-2 10-11 L
17/08 David Tixhon
M15 Lambermont
2-0 8-1 W
16/08 Matiej Reiter
M15 Lambermont
2-1 13-10 W
01/07 Jakub Nicod
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Kaipo Marshall
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
18/04 Louis Hull
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
17/04 Claus Piening
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/04 Lars Wagenaar
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Angelini vs Steffan Van Weldam?

Our model gives 70% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.