Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sander Jong vs Luca Wiedenmann
Team pages: Sander Jong · Luca Wiedenmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Sander Jong
Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sander Jong
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Wiedenmann
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sander Jong
1–0
Luca Wiedenmann
(1 last)
- 27 Feb2-1 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sander Jong 1540 · Luca Wiedenmann 1523
| Sander Jong | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sander Jong 1–0 Luca Wiedenmann (1).
Statistics
| Sander Jong | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.8 | 10.1-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Sander Jong 1 – 0 Luca Wiedenmann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sander Jong 1–0 Luca Wiedenmann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 M15 Villena | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sander Jong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Lucio Ratti M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Eero Vasa M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeremy Schifris M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Luca Wiedenmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaron Held M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sander Jong vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 59% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.