Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Heinrich vs Luca Wiedenmann
Team pages: Sebastian Heinrich · Luca Wiedenmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Heinrich
Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Heinrich
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Wiedenmann
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Heinrich 1557 · Luca Wiedenmann 1528
| Sebastian Heinrich | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sebastian Heinrich | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.5 | 9.9-8.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Heinrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mac Visser M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Kylian Collignon M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Julian Forer M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Justin Ilic M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Maximilian Todorov M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Vincent Jonah Strauch M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Richard Antoni M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/01 | Nicolas Hurtado Novoa M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 05/01 | Nikita Nikolenko M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaron Held M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Heinrich vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 70% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.