Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Angelini vs Daniel Verbeek
Team pages: Lorenzo Angelini · Daniel Verbeek
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Angelini
Daniel Verbeek
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Angelini
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Verbeek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Angelini 1491 · Daniel Verbeek 1560
| Lorenzo Angelini | Daniel Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Verbeek (rating 1491 vs 1560).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Angelini | Daniel Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.7 | 10.9-9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Steffan Van Weldam M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Stan Put M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 23/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Daniel Verbeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Richard Antoni M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Megrabian M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Felix Romeo M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Abel Forger M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Neo Ip M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Angelini vs Daniel Verbeek?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.