Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lucio Ratti vs Sander Jong
Team pages: Lucio Ratti · Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucio Ratti
Sander Jong
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucio Ratti
5-5 (W-L)
Sander Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucio Ratti 1553 · Sander Jong 1523
| Lucio Ratti | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucio Ratti | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9 | 11.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maximilian Todorov M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Eero Vasa M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeremy Schifris M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucio Ratti vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 55% to Lucio Ratti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.