Tennis · M25 Maribor · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Miha Vetrih
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Miha Vetrih
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Miha Vetrih
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Miha Vetrih
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sebastian Sorger
1–0
Miha Vetrih
(1 last)
- 21 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1579 · Miha Vetrih 1476
| Sebastian Sorger | Miha Vetrih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1579 vs 1476).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Sorger 1–0 Miha Vetrih (1).
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Miha Vetrih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-4.6 | 8.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Sebastian Sorger 1 – 0 Miha Vetrih (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Sorger 1–0 Miha Vetrih
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 M25 Maribor | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Simone Agostini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Miha Vetrih
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrea Fiorentini M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Matteo Trombini M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Store |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 20/05 | Niklas Schell M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Leonardo Taddia M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/01 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/01 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Samuel Heredia M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Miha Vetrih?
Our model gives 81% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.