Tennis · M25 Maribor · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Nicolo Toffanin
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Nicolo Toffanin
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Nicolo Toffanin
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
9-1 (W-L)
Nicolo Toffanin
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1515 · Nicolo Toffanin 1447
| Samuele Pieri | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Pieri (rating 1515 vs 1447).
- Samuele Pieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 10.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Theodore Dean M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nicolo Toffanin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
1-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Sardo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Facundo Yunis M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Nicolo Toffanin?
Our model gives 78% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.