Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 27/08, 02:30
Prediction: Derek Pham vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Derek Pham · Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Derek Pham
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derek Pham 1574 · Hayden Jones 1581
| Derek Pham | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Derek Pham | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.2 | 10.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/11 | Micah Braswell ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/11 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Charlie Valentine UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Asher Brownrigg M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derek Pham vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 52% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.