Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 25/08, 04:00
Prediction: James Girdler vs Jera Staley
Team pages: James Girdler · Jera Staley
Prediction summary
Winner
James Girdler
Jera Staley
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
James Girdler
4-6 (W-L)
Jera Staley
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Girdler 1446 · Jera Staley 1538
| James Girdler | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1446 vs 1538).
Statistics
| James Girdler | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.1 | 11.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Girdler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/12 | Evan Vasiliadis UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/12 | Marin Dumitru UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/11 | Oliver Welch UTR Pro Lovedale · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/11 | Luke Mcmillan UTR Pro Lovedale · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Harrison Gold UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Girdler vs Jera Staley?
Our model gives 75% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.