Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 26/08, 02:30
Prediction: Alec Braund vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Braund
Derek Pham
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Braund
6-4 (W-L)
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Braund 1487 · Derek Pham 1571
| Alec Braund | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derek Pham (rating 1487 vs 1571).
- Derek Pham is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alec Braund | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.3 | 12.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Braund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Ethan Domingo M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Stefan Storch M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/11 | Micah Braswell ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/11 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Charlie Valentine UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Ilias Hirani Worthington UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Braund vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 77% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.