Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 26/08, 01:00

Prediction: Kuma Ito vs Jera Staley

Team pages: Kuma Ito · Jera Staley

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Kuma Ito Jera Staley
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kuma Ito 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLWWWL
Jera Staley 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kuma Ito 1476 · Jera Staley 1515
Kuma ItoJera Staley
Our model44%56%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kuma ItoJera Staley
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.4-0.8
Games (G-P)9.2-10.511.7-8.8
Aces2.35
Double faults32.9
1st serve %63.3%72.1%
Break %32.8%55%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kuma Ito

LWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
24/08 James Girdler
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/08 Sam Wensley
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
21/08 James Girdler
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Cody Atkinson
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Enzo Aguiard
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/02 Zak Talic
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/02 Nicholas Jovanovski
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
06/02 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Jera Staley

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 James Girdler
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
22/08 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/08 Elijah Dikkenberg
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Alexey Shtengelov
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Clint Charles
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
17/08 Harrison Gold
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
21/06 Finley Dyer
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 16-15 L
20/06 Ashton Mcleod
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Zane Stevens
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kuma Ito vs Jera Staley?

Our model gives 61% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.