Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 26/08, 16:30
Prediction: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
2-8 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1427 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1567
| Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1427 vs 1567).
- Carlos Maria Zarate is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.4 | 13.6-10 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 50% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Pablo Mikito Mitoma M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Felipe Pagnacco UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Nikos Lehmann UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 80% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.