Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 26/08, 15:00
Prediction: Tomas Martinez vs Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Team pages: Tomas Martinez · Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martinez
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martinez 1474 · Lautaro Correa Beguerie 1386
| Tomas Martinez | Lautaro Correa Beguerie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Martinez (rating 1474 vs 1386).
- Tomas Martinez is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Tomas Martinez makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Tomas Martinez | Lautaro Correa Beguerie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 0% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.5 | 6.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 51.2% |
| Break % | 64.6% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mauricio Echazu Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 28/06 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Quito Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Delicata M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Agustin Libre M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Benjamin Torres ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/11 | Felix Corwin ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Ezequiel Simonit UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Facundo Arguello UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Nicolas Eli UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martinez vs Lautaro Correa Beguerie?
Our model gives 74% to Tomas Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.