Tennis · M15 Champaign · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Preston Stearns vs Noa Vukadin
Team pages: Preston Stearns · Noa Vukadin
Prediction summary
Winner
Preston Stearns
Noa Vukadin
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Preston Stearns
9-1 (W-L)
Noa Vukadin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston Stearns 1592 · Noa Vukadin 1510
| Preston Stearns | Noa Vukadin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1592 vs 1510).
- Preston Stearns dominates on serve: 6 aces and 51.6% break avg.
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Preston Stearns | Noa Vukadin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.4 | 9.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Marko Mesarovic ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Nathan Ponwith ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Noa Vukadin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jakub Vrba M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 31/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Marko Maksimovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Olle Wallin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Piotr Galus M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Maks Kasnikowski M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston Stearns vs Noa Vukadin?
Our model gives 51% to Noa Vukadin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.