Tennis · M15 Champaign · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Matisse Farzam vs Mikael Arseneault
Team pages: Matisse Farzam · Mikael Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Farzam
Mikael Arseneault
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Farzam
6-4 (W-L)
Mikael Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Farzam 1492 · Mikael Arseneault 1470
| Matisse Farzam | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matisse Farzam | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12 | 10.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Farzam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Rishvanth Krishna M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Cian Maguire M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 05/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/11 | Christopher Li M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Farzam vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 51% to Matisse Farzam, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.