Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00

Prediction: Richard Antoni vs Daniel Verbeek

Team pages: Richard Antoni · Daniel Verbeek

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Richard Antoni Daniel Verbeek
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Richard Antoni 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLLW
Daniel Verbeek 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Richard Antoni 1438 · Daniel Verbeek 1534
Richard AntoniDaniel Verbeek
Our model37%63%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Verbeek (rating 1438 vs 1534).
  • Daniel Verbeek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Richard Antoni makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Richard AntoniDaniel Verbeek
Win %20%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (4) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.51.3-1
Games (G-P)6.8-10.59.6-8.8
Aces1.61.4
Double faults5.81.6
1st serve %65.8%66.2%
Break %27%49.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Richard Antoni

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Amadatus Admiraal
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Daniele Minighini
M15 Krakow
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Saba Purtseladze
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 David Fix
M25 Wetzlar
0-1 2-6 L
21/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Ruben Hartig
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Felix Einig
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
10/06 Heorhii Shylov
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Daniel Verbeek

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Andre Megrabian
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Lambermont
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Henri Haupt
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-5 W
17/08 Felix Romeo
M15 Lambermont
2-1 10-10 W
05/08 Abel Forger
M15 Eupen
1-2 13-18 L
04/08 Neo Ip
M15 Eupen
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 The Hague
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Jim Hendrikx
M25 The Hague
2-0 11-3 W
06/07 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 The Hague
2-1 10-8 W
24/06 Louis Tessa
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Richard Antoni vs Daniel Verbeek?

Our model gives 70% to Daniel Verbeek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.