Tennis · M25 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 11:30
Prediction: Lucio Ratti vs Maximilian Todorov
Team pages: Lucio Ratti · Maximilian Todorov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucio Ratti
Maximilian Todorov
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucio Ratti
5-5 (W-L)
Maximilian Todorov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucio Ratti 1573 · Maximilian Todorov 1483
| Lucio Ratti | Maximilian Todorov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucio Ratti (rating 1573 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Lucio Ratti | Maximilian Todorov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.4 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maximilian Todorov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/06 | David Fix M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | David Tixhon M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 17/03 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucio Ratti vs Maximilian Todorov?
Our model gives 76% to Lucio Ratti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.