Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Blu Baker vs Henry Bernet
Team pages: Blu Baker · Henry Bernet
Prediction summary
Winner
Blu Baker
Henry Bernet
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Blu Baker
8-2 (W-L)
Henry Bernet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blu Baker 1591 · Henry Bernet 1539
| Blu Baker | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1591 vs 1539).
- Note: Henry Bernet makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Blu Baker | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.6 | 14.5-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blu Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Leonardo Taddia M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 19/08 | Luca Parenti M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Reece Falck UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabriel Jessup UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Marko Maric M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blu Baker vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 63% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.