Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs Tymur Bieldiugin
Team pages: Andrey Chepelev · Tymur Bieldiugin
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrey Chepelev
Tymur Bieldiugin
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Chepelev
6-4 (W-L)
Tymur Bieldiugin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrey Chepelev 1524 · Tymur Bieldiugin 1570
| Andrey Chepelev | Tymur Bieldiugin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tymur Bieldiugin (rating 1524 vs 1570).
- Tymur Bieldiugin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrey Chepelev | Tymur Bieldiugin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.7 | 11.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 39% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Luca Parenti M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Tolev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marko Maksimovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Tymur Bieldiugin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Nicola Senn M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Ergi Kirkin M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Liam Gavrielides M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Christian Wedel M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Jan Jauch M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Julius Hacker M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Peter Makk M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs Tymur Bieldiugin?
Our model gives 62% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.