Tennis · M25 Maribor · 26/08, 14:30

Prediction: Marko Retelj vs Karlo Kajin

Team pages: Marko Retelj · Karlo Kajin

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Marko Retelj Karlo Kajin
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Retelj 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWLL
Karlo Kajin 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marko Retelj 1482 · Karlo Kajin 1465
Marko ReteljKarlo Kajin
Our model52%48%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Marko ReteljKarlo Kajin
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)8.4-8.67.5-10.4
Aces11.9
Double faults1.42
1st serve %64.1%63.4%
Break %43.6%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marko Retelj

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 10-13 L
03/07 Niccolo Baroni
M15 Store
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Niklas Waldner
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Miha Vetrih
M15 Store
2-0 9-6 W
24/06 Maximilian Homberg
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Jonas Pelle Hartenstein
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 8-3 W
04/06 Andrin Casanova
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
02/06 Alessandro Battiston
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
26/05 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
1-2 6-9 L

Karlo Kajin

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Nazar Oliynykov
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 1-12 L
19/08 Matteo Fondriest
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Martin Muller
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 8-8 W
21/06 Paris Pouatcha
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
17/06 Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
26/05 Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/03 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Opatija · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/03 Simeon Stankovic
M15 Opatija · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marko Retelj vs Karlo Kajin?

Our model gives 51% to Marko Retelj, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.