Tennis · M25 Maribor · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Mattias Pisanu vs Andrea De Marchi
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattias Pisanu
Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mattias Pisanu
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattias Pisanu 1472 · Andrea De Marchi 1581
| Mattias Pisanu | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea De Marchi (rating 1472 vs 1581).
- Andrea De Marchi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mattias Pisanu makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Mattias Pisanu | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-9.9 | 10.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 64% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattias Pisanu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maj Premzl M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Alex Lapsansky M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 17/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Francesco Forti M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattias Pisanu vs Andrea De Marchi?
Our model gives 80% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.