Tennis · M25 Maribor · 26/08, 13:00
Prediction: Stefan Popovic vs Piotr Galus
Team pages: Stefan Popovic · Piotr Galus
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Popovic
Piotr Galus
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Popovic
5-5 (W-L)
Piotr Galus
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Popovic 1512 · Piotr Galus 1452
| Stefan Popovic | Piotr Galus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Popovic (rating 1512 vs 1452).
Statistics
| Stefan Popovic | Piotr Galus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.2 | 7.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Popovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Max Houkes M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Gorazd Srbljak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Piotr Galus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Artem Dzhurdzha M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Jan Wygona M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Ivan Sabanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jozef Kovalik M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Ivan Biletic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Popovic vs Piotr Galus?
Our model gives 74% to Stefan Popovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.