Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 26/08, 08:00
Prediction: Ivan Gretskiy vs Jake Fellows
Team pages: Ivan Gretskiy · Jake Fellows
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Gretskiy
Jake Fellows
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gretskiy
2-8 (W-L)
Jake Fellows
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Gretskiy 1430 · Jake Fellows 1572
| Ivan Gretskiy | Jake Fellows | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1430 vs 1572).
- Jake Fellows is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ivan Gretskiy makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Gretskiy | Jake Fellows | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.2 | 10.9-7.7 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Gretskiy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Marwan Ehab M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Zubin Omar M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/05 | Nico Hipfl M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robin Eldin M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kaipo Marshall Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Rafael Botran Neutze Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniel Azar Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Paulo Pocasangre Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Duncan McCall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Gretskiy vs Jake Fellows?
Our model gives 66% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.