Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 03/09, 10:00

Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Jake Fellows

Team pages: Giulio Perego · Jake Fellows

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Giulio Perego Jake Fellows
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWLW
Jake Fellows 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1494 · Jake Fellows 1575
Giulio PeregoJake Fellows
Our model39%61%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1494 vs 1575).
  • Jake Fellows is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Giulio PeregoJake Fellows
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 100% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.7-0.7
Games (G-P)11.3-11.910.9-7.6
Aces1.84.3
Double faults2.42.5
1st serve %63.9%72.7%
Break %60.4%59.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulio Perego

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Aradhya Kshitij
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/08 Arvid Nordquist
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
16/08 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 George Loffhagen
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/07 Tiago Cacao
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-16 L
29/07 James Beaven
M25 Aldershot
2-1 18-13 W
18/07 Orel Kimhi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Andreas Timini
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
16/07 Hugo Pierre
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Jake Fellows

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Karim Ibrahim
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/09 Aryan Lakshmanan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Gawad El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 9-9 W
12/08 Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 8-9 W
28/06 Robin Eldin
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 11-13 L
13/06 Kaipo Marshall
Davis Cup
2-0 12-0 W
12/06 Rafael Botran Neutze
Davis Cup
2-0 12-8 W
10/06 Daniel Azar
Davis Cup
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Jake Fellows?

Our model gives 50% to Giulio Perego, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.