Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 04/09, 08:00
Prediction: Thijs Boogaard vs Conor Gannon
Team pages: Thijs Boogaard · Conor Gannon
Prediction summary
Winner
Thijs Boogaard
Conor Gannon
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thijs Boogaard
7-3 (W-L)
Conor Gannon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thijs Boogaard 1563 · Conor Gannon 1554
| Thijs Boogaard | Conor Gannon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Conor Gannon dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 43.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Thijs Boogaard | Conor Gannon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.3 | 13.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 78.8% |
| Break % | 32% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thijs Boogaard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Conor Gannon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Anton Matusevich M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Matt Ponchet M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thijs Boogaard vs Conor Gannon?
Our model gives 66% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.