Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 03/09, 09:00
Prediction: Thijs Boogaard vs Zian Vanderstappen
Team pages: Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Thijs Boogaard
Zian Vanderstappen
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thijs Boogaard
7-3 (W-L)
Zian Vanderstappen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thijs Boogaard 1536 · Zian Vanderstappen 1527
| Thijs Boogaard | Zian Vanderstappen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Zian Vanderstappen makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Thijs Boogaard | Zian Vanderstappen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.4 | 10-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thijs Boogaard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Zian Vanderstappen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Svarmanyu Singh M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Elgin Khoeblal M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Robin Eldin M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ids Waterbolk M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Harold Huens M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Andre Megrabian M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Kluczynski M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thijs Boogaard vs Zian Vanderstappen?
Our model gives 74% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.