Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 25/08, 16:30

Prediction: Fantino Alberca De Las Casas vs Leonel Cesar Castro

Team pages: Leonel Cesar Castro

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Fantino Alberca De Las Casas Leonel Cesar Castro
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Fantino Alberca De Las Casas 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Leonel Cesar Castro 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fantino Alberca De Las Casas 1477 · Leonel Cesar Castro 1442
Fantino Alberca De Las CasasLeonel Cesar Castro
Our model55%45%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Fantino Alberca De Las CasasLeonel Cesar Castro
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.9-1.6
Games (G-P)9.7-10.79.1-11.6
Aces00
Double faults2.63.4
1st serve %60.8%58.2%
Break %47%27.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fantino Alberca De Las Casas

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
11/08 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
10/08 Rocco Valente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Francisco Jose Gay
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
31/07 Felipe Pagnacco
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Nikos Lehmann
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
17/05 Martin Riu
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
27/03 Rocco Valente
M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Leonel Cesar Castro

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Ignacio De Armas
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 10-10 L
06/07 Tomas Jordi Leston
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 5-13 L
08/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/05 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
1-2 8-12 L
10/05 Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
06/05 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/04 Lucio Ratti
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
18/04 Valentin Garay
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
17/04 Nocolas A Jara Lozano
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 13-14 W
16/04 Felipe Dreer
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fantino Alberca De Las Casas vs Leonel Cesar Castro?

Our model gives 53% to Fantino Alberca De Las Casas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.