Tennis · M15 Mar Del Plata · 25/08, 15:00
Prediction: Lautaro Correa Beguerie vs Santiago Pesino
Team pages: Lautaro Correa Beguerie · Santiago Pesino
Prediction summary
Winner
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
1-9 (W-L)
Santiago Pesino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lautaro Correa Beguerie 1364 · Santiago Pesino 1497
| Lautaro Correa Beguerie | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Pesino (rating 1364 vs 1497).
- Santiago Pesino is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lautaro Correa Beguerie | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.2-12.5 | 11.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 48.1% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Liam Delicata M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Agustin Libre M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Benjamin Torres ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/11 | Felix Corwin ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Ezequiel Simonit UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Facundo Arguello UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Nicolas Eli UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 12/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Nicolas Baena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lautaro Correa Beguerie vs Santiago Pesino?
Our model gives 78% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.